Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 2 |
Aug 28 2025 |
W |
Stony Brook
|
42-0 |
1225.0 |
+0.0
|
1225.0 |
17.0% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
L |
Washington State
|
13-36 |
1225.0 |
-16.0
|
1209.0 |
24.1% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
W |
California
|
34-0 |
1209.0 |
+72.3
|
1281.3 |
11.4% |
| 6 |
Sep 27 2025 |
W |
Northern Illinois
|
6-3 |
1281.3 |
+59.8
|
1341.1 |
36.6% |
| 7 |
Oct 3 2025 |
W |
Colorado State
|
45-24 |
1341.1 |
+33.4
|
1374.5 |
52.9% |
| 8 |
Oct 11 2025 |
W |
Nevada
|
44-10 |
1374.5 |
+18.5
|
1393.0 |
83.2% |
| 10 |
Oct 25 2025 |
W |
Fresno State
|
23-0 |
1393.0 |
+56.0
|
1449.0 |
41.5% |
| 11 |
Nov 1 2025 |
W |
Wyoming
|
24-7 |
1449.0 |
+26.9
|
1475.9 |
61.2% |
| 12 |
Nov 8 2025 |
L |
Hawai'i
|
6-38 |
1475.9 |
-43.5
|
1432.4 |
58.9% |
| 13 |
Nov 15 2025 |
W |
Boise State
|
17-7 |
1432.4 |
+61.0
|
1493.4 |
22.3% |
| 14 |
Nov 22 2025 |
W |
San José State
|
25-3 |
1493.4 |
+11.9
|
1505.3 |
81.8% |
| 15 |
Nov 28 2025 |
L |
New Mexico
|
17-23 |
1505.3 |
-34.1
|
1471.2 |
47.8% |
| 19 |
Dec 27 2025 |
L |
North Texas
|
47-49 |
1471.2 |
-29.6
|
1441.6 |
34.8% |